{"id":10872,"date":"2020-04-02T05:00:25","date_gmt":"2020-04-02T09:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.justrightmedia.org\/blog\/?p=10872"},"modified":"2020-04-23T09:22:06","modified_gmt":"2020-04-23T13:22:06","slug":"648-lies-damn-lies-and-statistics-about-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/archives\/10872","title":{"rendered":"648 – Lies, damn lies, and statistics \u2014 about COVID-19"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Now that the first \u2018two crucial weeks\u2019 of a state-imposed lockdown have passed, we have entered a second \u2018two crucial weeks\u2019 period \u2013 with promises of more \u2018two week crucial periods\u2019 ahead of us \u2013 as everyone waits to see if the anticipated statistical predictions regarding COVID-19<\/strong> actually come to pass.<\/p>\n

First, we were faced with a coronavirus health pandemic.<\/strong> Then, world governments created a second crisis by shutting down their economies and precipitating an unemployment pandemic and a financial pandemic.<\/strong> Now, it appears that we have a serious COVID-19 \u2018statistics crisis,\u2019<\/strong> which may, in the end, be the one most responsible for precipitating all the fear and panic concerning the first two.<\/p>\n

An increasing number of analysts are calling into question the validity of COVID-19 projections based on extrapolations of very dubious data samplings. There is also evidence surfacing that the statistics are being manipulated to present a false picture of the situation.<\/p>\n

For example, there is a huge difference between measuring \u2018cases\u2019 of the SARS-CoV-2 virus<\/strong> and measuring the number of people suffering from the COVID-19 disease.<\/strong> Yet our governments have intentionally decided to treat each of these very distinct concepts as being identical.<\/p>\n

It is becoming increasingly recognized that the statistics cited in our daily COVID19 updates may not be statistically valid.<\/strong> and do not represent valid comparisons or projections. <\/p>\n

Statistics are, after all, merely measurements of those things that we choose to measure. They are only valid \u2018after the fact,\u2019 so to speak \u2013 and only if they reflect the facts. Further, they are only useful insofar as the things being measured and compared are the same \u2013 which is certainly not the case when equating the virus with the disease. <\/p>\n

In the end, the coronavirus will run its course regardless of what politicians and governments choose to do. We know this because that\u2019s what our politicians and governments themselves have been saying. And if so, then all of the state prohibitions on freedom of association are completely unnecessary and will only create a further crisis. <\/p>\n

Why are they doing it? \u201cTo flatten a curve\u201d \u2013 a curve that contains the very same COVID-19 numbers as it does when \u2018flattened.\u2019 Alarmingly, the only justification for this total economic shut down concerns an attempt to \u2018slow\u2019 the virus, not to stop it other than by letting it run its natural course until vaccines are available at some future time.<\/p>\n

What really requires accurate statistical measurement is the level of government incompetence that is ultimately responsible for the entire situation from start to end. But that\u2019s a discussion for another day.<\/p>\n

The potential social, political and economic pandemic that awaits us after the coronavirus scare subsides will dwarf any current fears, and you don\u2019t need a statistical analysis to understand why.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s why it is with a grim demeanour that we are forced to conclude that it may be an extraordinarily long time before anything starts looking Just Right again \u2013 if ever.<\/p>\n

<\/a> <\/a><\/p>\n

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Now that the first \u2018two crucial weeks\u2019 of a state-imposed lockdown have passed, we have entered a second \u2018two crucial weeks\u2019 period \u2013 with promises of more \u2018two week crucial periods\u2019 ahead of us \u2013 as everyone waits to see if the anticipated statistical predictions regarding COVID-19 actually come to pass. First, we were faced [Continue Reading]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10874,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,25,69,3134,1027,28,604,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-audio","category-capitalism-politics","category-economics","category-globalism","category-jobs","category-latest","category-money-economics","category-politics","issues-coronavirus","issues-covid-19","issues-sars-cov-2","issues-statistics","personalities-doug-ford","category-12-id","category-25-id","category-69-id","category-3134-id","category-1027-id","category-28-id","category-604-id","category-6-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10872","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10872"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10872\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10956,"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10872\/revisions\/10956"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10872"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10872"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justrightmedia.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10872"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}